$=TAX FAA/DOD/FEMA DETAIL
KMOD 181953Z 21003KT 9SM CLR 25/02 A3002 RMK AO2 SLP166 T02500022
KAVX 181951Z AUTO 26006KT 10SM CLR 23/08 A3004 RMK AO2 SLP147 T02280083 TSNO
KSAN 181951Z 31008KT 10SM CLR 24/06 A2997 RMK AO2 SLP150 T02390061
KSAN 181720Z 1818/1924 VRB04KT P6SM SKC
FM182000 29009KT P6SM SKC
FM190100 VRB04KT P6SM SKC
FM190600 VRB04KT P6SM FEW007
FM191200 VRB04KT P6SM SKC
FM192000 29009KT P6SM SKC
PGUM 181954Z 18011G22KT 10SM FEW017 SCT025 SCT032 27/25 A2965 RMK AO2
RAB26E36 SLP033 P0000 T02720250 $
PGUM 181729Z 1818/1924 18012G22KT P6SM VCSH SCT015 SCT130 BKN300
FM190000 21012G20KT P6SM VCSH SCT018 SCT130 BKN300
KMOD 181953Z 21003KT 9SM CLR 25/02 A3002 RMK AO2 SLP166 T02500022
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP262013
200 AM CHST SAT OCT 19 2013
...TYPHOON FRANCISCO TURNS NORTHWESTWARD...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.
SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.5N 141.5E
ABOUT 260 MILES NORTHWEST OF GUAM
ABOUT 265 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF ROTA
ABOUT 275 MILES WEST OF TINIAN AND
ABOUT 285 MILES WEST OF SAIPAN
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...THE EYE OF TYPHOON FRANCISCO (26W) WAS
LOCATED BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 141.5
EAST.
TYPHOON FRANCISCO IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 MPH. TYPHOON
FRANCISCO IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWESTWARD WITH A SLIGHT
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED THROUGH SATURDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN 145 MPH. TYPHOON FRANCISCO IS STILL
FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THROUGH SATURDAY AND MAY BECOME A SUPER
TYPHOON LATER TODAY. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50
MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 165 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE LATER THIS MORNING AT 800 AM.
$$
MCELROY
000
WTPQ33 PGUM 180934
TCPPQ3
BULLETIN
TYPHOON FRANCISCO (26W) ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP262013
800 PM CHST FRI OCT 18 2013
...TYPHOON FRANCISCO CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN WEST OF THE MARIANAS...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.
SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.7N 142.0E
ABOUT 205 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF GUAM
ABOUT 220 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF ROTA
ABOUT 240 MILES WEST OF TINIAN
ABOUT 250 MILES WEST OF SAIPAN
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 355 DEGREES AT 10 MPH.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE EYE OF TYPHOON FRANCISCO (26W) WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 14.7 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 142.0 EAST.
RADAR INDICATES THAT TYPHOON FRANCISCO IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 10
MPH. TYPHOON FRANCISCO IS EXPECTED TO TURN TO THE NORTHWEST WITH AN
SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 145 MPH. TYPHOON FRANCISCO
IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING THROUGH SATURDAY AND MAY
STRENGTHEN TO A SUPER TYPHOON EARLY SATURDAY. TYPHOON FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 165 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE EARLY SATURDAY MORNING AT 200 AM.
$$
WILLIAMS
000
WTPQ33 PGUM 180306
TCPPQ3
BULLETIN
TYPHOON FRANCISCO (26W) ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP262013
200 PM CHST FRI OCT 18 2013
...TYPHOON FRANCISCO BEGINNING TO INTENSIFY AGAIN...
...TYPHOON FRANCISCO CONTINUES TO MOVE AWAY FROM GUAM...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR GUAM AND ADJACENT COASTAL
WATERS OUT TO 40 NM. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DAMAGING
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH OR MORE...ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED TO OCCUR.
SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.2N 142.1E
ABOUT 200 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF GUAM
ABOUT 210 MILES WEST OF ROTA
ABOUT 245 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TINIAN AND SAIPAN
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 8 MPH.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE EYE OF TYPHOON FRANCISCO (26W) WAS
LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH AND
LONGITUDE 142.1 EAST.
SATELLITE AND RADAR INDICATE THAT TYPHOON FRANCISCO IS MOVING
NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 MPH. FRANCISCO IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TOWARDS
THE NORTHWEST WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 140 MPH. TYPHOON FRANCISCO
IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING THROUGH SATURDAY. TYPHOON FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE THIS EVENING AT 800 PM.
$$
W.AYDLETT
000
WTPQ33 PGUM 180051
TCPPQ3
BULLETIN
TYPHOON FRANCISCO (26W) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP262013
1100 AM CHST FRI OCT 18 2013
...TYPHOON FRANCISCO CONTINUING TO MOVE AWAY FROM GUAM...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR ROTA...TINIAN...
SAIPAN AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS OUT TO 40 NM. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DAMAGING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH OR MORE...
ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED TO OCCUR.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND THE ADJACENT
GUAM WATERS OUT TO 40 NM. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...INCLUDING
DAMAGING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH OR MORE...ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON.
SUMMARY OF 10 AM CHST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.8N 142.1E
ABOUT 180 MILES WEST OF GUAM
ABOUT 210 MILES WEST OF ROTA
ABOUT 255 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TINIAN AND SAIPAN
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 10 AM CHST...0000 UTC...THE EYE OF TYPHOON FRANCISCO (26W) WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 142.1 EAST.
RADAR HAS INDICATED THAT TYPHOON FRANCISCO IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD
AT 10 MPH. FRANCISCO IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST
WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN AT 125 MPH. TYPHOON FRANCISCO IS
FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN ADDITIONALLY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 PM...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AT 500 PM.
$$
W.AYDLETT
000
WTPQ33 PGUM 172101
TCPPQ3
BULLETIN
TYPHOON FRANCISCO (26W) ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP262013
800 AM CHST FRI OCT 18 2013
...TYPHOON FRANCISCO MAINTAINING INTENSITY...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND THE ADJACENT
GUAM WATERS OUT TO 40 NM. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...INCLUDING
DAMAGING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH OR MORE...ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA...TINIAN...SAIPAN
AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS OUT TO 40 NM. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DAMAGING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH OR MORE...
ARE STILL POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT.
SUMMARY OF 7 AM CHST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.6N 142.7E
ABOUT 140 MILES WEST OF GUAM
ABOUT 170 MILES WEST OF ROTA
ABOUT 215 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TINIAN
ABOUT 230 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN AND
ABOUT 420 MILES NORTHEAST OF YAP
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 13 MPH.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 7 AM CHST...2100 UTC...THE EYE OF TYPHOON FRANCISCO (26W) WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 142.7 EAST.
RADAR HAS INDICATED THAT TYPHOON FRANCISCO IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 13
MPH. FRANCISCO IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST WITH A
SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN AT 125 MPH. TYPHOON FRANCISCO IS
FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN ADDITIONALLY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE THIS MORNING AT 1100 AM. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE
ISSUED THIS AFTERNOON AT 200 PM.
$$
W.AYDLETT
000
WTPQ33 PGUM 171924
TCPPQ3
BULLETIN
TYPHOON FRANCISCO (26W) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP262013
500 AM CHST FRI OCT 18 2013
...TYPHOON FRANCISCO STRONGER AND MARCHING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND THE ADJACENT
GUAM WATERS OUT TO 40 NM. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...INCLUDING
DAMAGING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH OR MORE...ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA...TINIAN...SAIPAN
AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS OUT TO 40 NM. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DAMAGING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH OR MORE...
ARE STILL POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT.
SUMMARY OF 5 AM CHST...1900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.2N 142.6E
ABOUT 145 MILES WEST OF GUAM
ABOUT 185 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ROTA
ABOUT 235 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF TINIAN
ABOUT 250 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN AND
ABOUT 400 MILES NORTHEAST OF YAP
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 14 MPH.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 5 AM CHST...1900 UTC...THE EYE OF TYPHOON FRANCISCO (26W) WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 142.6 EAST.
RADAR HAS INDICATED THAT TYPHOON FRANCISCO IS MOVING NORTH-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 MPH...CONTINUING TO INTENSIFY. FRANCISCO IS
EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 125 MPH. TYPHOON FRANCISCO
IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE STRENGTHENING DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 800 AM...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY LATER THIS
MORNING AT 1100 AM.
$$
MCELROY
000
WTPQ33 PGUM 171527
TCPPQ3
BULLETIN
TYPHOON FRANCISCO (26W) ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP262013
200 AM CHST FRI OCT 18 2013
...TYPHOON FRANCISCO HEADING NORTHWARD FASTER...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND THE ADJACENT
GUAM WATERS OUT TO 40 NM. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...INCLUDING
DAMAGING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH OR MORE...ARE EXPECTED IN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA...TINIAN...SAIPAN
AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS OUT TO 40 NM. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DAMAGING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH OR MORE...
ARE STILL POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS.
SUMMARY OF 1 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.6N 142.8E
ABOUT 145 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM
ABOUT 190 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ROTA
ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TINIAN
ABOUT 260 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN AND
ABOUT 385 MILES NORTHEAST OF YAP
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 15 MPH.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1 AM CHST...1500 UTC...THE EYE OF TYPHOON FRANCISCO (26W) WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 12.6 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 142.8 EAST.
RADAR HAS INDICATED THAT TYPHOON FRANCISCO IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 15
MPH...CONTINUING TO INTENSIFY. FRANCISCO IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARDS
THE NORTHWEST WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 100 MPH. TYPHOON FRANCISCO IS FORECAST
TO CONTINUE STRENGTHENING DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TYPHOON FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE THIS MORNING AT 500 AM. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY
WILL BE ISSUED LATER THIS MORNING AT 800 AM.
$$
MCELROY
000
WTPQ33 PGUM 171343 CCA
TCPPQ3
BULLETIN
TYPHOON FRANCISCO (26W) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP262013
1100 PM CHST THU OCT 17 2013
CORRECTED INTENSITY
...TYPHOON FRANCISCO CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY...
...TYPHOON FRANCISCO DRIFTING SLOWLY NORTHWARD...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND THE ADJACENT
GUAM WATERS OUT TO 40 NM. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...INCLUDING
DAMAGING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH OR MORE...ARE EXPECTED IN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA...TINIAN...SAIPAN
AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS OUT TO 40 NM. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DAMAGING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH OR MORE...
ARE STILL POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS.
SUMMARY OF 10 PM CHST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.0N 142.9E
ABOUT 160 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GUAM
ABOUT 210 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ROTA
ABOUT 275 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TINIAN
ABOUT 285 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN AND
ABOUT 370 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF YAP
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 010 DEGREES AT 9 MPH.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 10 PM CHST...1200 UTC...THE EYE OF TYPHOON FRANCISCO (26W) WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 12.0 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 142.9 EAST.
RADAR HAS INDICATED THAT TYPHOON FRANCISCO IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 9
MPH...CONTINUING TO INTENSIFY. FRANCISCO IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARDS
THE NORTHWEST WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 100 MPH. TYPHOON FRANCISCO
IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE STRENGTHENING DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE ON FRIDAY MORNING AT 200 AM...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE
ADVISORY AT 500 AM.
$$
MCELROY
000
WTPQ33 PGUM 171323
TCPPQ3
BULLETIN
TYPHOON FRANCISCO (26W) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP262013
1100 PM CHST THU OCT 17 2013
...TYPHOON FRANCISCO CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY...
...TYPHOON FRANCISCO DRIFTING SLOWLY NORTHWARD...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND THE ADJACENT
GUAM WATERS OUT TO 40 NM. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...INCLUDING
DAMAGING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH OR MORE...ARE EXPECTED IN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA...TINIAN...SAIPAN
AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS OUT TO 40 NM. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DAMAGING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH OR MORE...
ARE STILL POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS.
SUMMARY OF 10 PM CHST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.0N 142.9E
ABOUT 160 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GUAM
ABOUT 210 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ROTA
ABOUT 275 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TINIAN
ABOUT 285 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN AND
ABOUT 370 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF YAP
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 010 DEGREES AT 9 MPH.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 10 PM CHST...1200 UTC...THE EYE OF TYPHOON FRANCISCO (26W) WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 12.0 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 142.9 EAST.
RADAR HAS INDICATED THAT TYPHOON FRANCISCO IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 9
MPH...CONTINUING TO INTENSIFY. FRANCISCO IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARDS
THE NORTHWEST WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 105 MPH. TYPHOON FRANCISCO
IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE STRENGTHENING DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE ON FRIDAY MORNING AT 200 AM...FOLLOWED BY AN INTERMEDIATE
ADVISORY AT 500 AM.
$$
MCELROY
000
WTPQ33 PGUM 170957 CCA
TCPPQ3
BULLETIN
TYPHOON FRANCISCO (26W) ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP262013
800 PM CHST THU OCT 17 2013
CORRECTED TITLE
...TYPHOON FRANCISCO CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY...
...TYPHOON FRANCISCO DRIFTING SLOWLY NORTHWARD...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND THE ADJACENT
GUAM WATERS OUT TO 40 NM. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...INCLUDING
DAMAGING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH OR MORE...ARE EXPECTED IN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA...TINIAN...SAIPAN
AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS OUT TO 40 NM. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DAMAGING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH OR MORE...
ARE STILL POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS.
SUMMARY OF 7 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.7N 142.7E
ABOUT 185 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GUAM
ABOUT 235 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ROTA
ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TINIAN
ABOUT 310 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN AND
ABOUT 345 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF YAP
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 4 MPH.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 7 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE EYE OF TYPHOON FRANCISCO (26W) WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 11.7 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 142.7 EAST.
RADAR HAS INDICATED THAT TYPHOON FRANCISCO IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTH-
NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 4 MPH AND CONTINUING TO INTENSIFY. FRANCISCO IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH A
GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 85 MPH. TYPHOON FRANCISCO
IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE STRENGTHENING DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD TO 25 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE LATER THIS EVENING AT 1100 PM. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY
WILL BE ISSUED EARLY ON FRIDAY MORNING AT 200 AM.
$$
MCELROY
000
WTPQ33 PGUM 170932
TCPPQ3
BULLETIN
TYPHOON FRANCISCO (26W) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP262013
800 PM CHST THU OCT 17 2013
...TYPHOON FRANCISCO CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY...
...TYPHOON FRANCISCO DRIFTING SLOWLY NORTHWARD...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND THE ADJACENT
GUAM WATERS OUT TO 40 NM. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...INCLUDING
DAMAGING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH OR MORE...ARE EXPECTED IN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA...TINIAN...SAIPAN
AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS OUT TO 40 NM. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DAMAGING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH OR MORE...
ARE STILL POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS.
SUMMARY OF 7 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.7N 142.7E
ABOUT 185 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GUAM
ABOUT 235 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ROTA
ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TINIAN
ABOUT 310 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN AND
ABOUT 345 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF YAP
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 4 MPH.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 7 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE EYE OF TYPHOON FRANCISCO (26W) WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 11.7 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 142.7 EAST.
RADAR HAS INDICATED THAT TYPHOON FRANCISCO IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTH-
NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 4 MPH AND CONTINUING TO INTENSIFY. FRANCISCO IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH A
GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 85 MPH. TYPHOON FRANCISCO
IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE STRENGTHENING DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD TO 25 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE LATER THIS EVENING AT 1100 PM. THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY
WILL BE ISSUED EARLY ON FRIDAY MORNING AT 200 AM.
$$
MCELROY
000
WTPQ33 PGUM 170731
TCPPQ3
BULLETIN
TYPHOON FRANCISCO (26W) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP262013
500 PM CHST THU OCT 17 2013
...TYPHOON FRANCISCO CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY...
...TYPHOON FRANCISCO MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND GUAM
ADJACENT WATERS OUT TO 40 NM. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...INCLUDING
DAMAGING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH OR MORE...ARE EXPECTED IN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA...TINIAN... SAIPAN
AND ADJACENT WATERS OUT TO 40 NM. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
INCLUDING DAMAGING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH OR MORE...ARE STILL
POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS.
SUMMARY OF 5 PM CHST...0700 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.5N 142.7E
ABOUT 195 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GUAM
ABOUT 245 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ROTA
ABOUT 310 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TINIAN
ABOUT 320 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN
ABOUT 340 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF YAP
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 3 MPH.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 5 PM CHST...0700 UTC...THE EYE OF TYPHOON FRANCISCO (26W) WAS
LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 11.5 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 142.7 EAST.
RADAR HAS INDICATED THAT TYPHOON FRANCISCO IS MOVING SLOWLY
NORTH-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 3 MPH WHILE CONTINUING TO INTENSIFY.
FRANCISCO IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHWEST
THROUGH THE NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 80 MPH. TYPHOON FRANCISCO WILL
CONTINUE STRENGTHENING THROUGH TONIGHT. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUT TO 15 MILES. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 130
MILES FROM THE CENTER.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 800 PM TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE
ADVISORY AT 1100 PM JUST BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
$$
ZIOBRO/EDSON
000
WTPQ33 PGUM 170326
TCPPQ3
BULLETIN
TYPHOON FRANCISCO (26W) ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP262013
200 PM CHST THU OCT 17 2013
...TROPICAL STORM FRANCISCO BECOMES A TYPHOON...
...TYPHOON FRANCISCO BEGINNING TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND GUAM ADJACENT
WATERS OUT TO 40 NM. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DAMAGING
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH OR MORE...ARE EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 12 TO
24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ROTA...TINIAN... SAIPAN
AND ADJACENT WATERS OUT TO 40 NM. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
INCLUDING DAMAGING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH OR MORE...ARE STILL
POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS.
SUMMARY OF 1 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.2N 142.8E
ABOUT 205 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GUAM
ABOUT 255 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ROTA
ABOUT 325 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TINIAN
ABOUT 335 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN
ABOUT 340 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF YAP
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 MPH.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE EYE OF TYPHOON FRANCISCO (26W) WAS
LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 11.2 NORTH AND
LONGITUDE 142.8 EAST.
RADAR HAS INDICATED THAT TYPHOON FRANCISCO HAS BEGUN TO DRIFT NORTH
AT ABOUT 5 MPH WHILE CONTINUING TO INTENSIFY. FRANCISCO IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTH THROUGH THE NIGHT AND FRIDAY
MORNING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH. TYPHOON
FRANCISCO WILL CONTINUE STRENGTHENING THROUGH TONIGHT. TYPHOON
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT TO 15 MILES. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 130 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE AT 500 PM THIS AFTERNOON...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 800 PM LATER THIS EVENING.
$$
ZIOBRO/EDSON/STANKO
000
WTPZ31 KNHC 170231
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PRISCILLA ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
800 PM PDT WED OCT 16 2013
...PRISCILLA BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.7N 120.9W
ABOUT 765 MI...1235 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
PRISCILLA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 120.9
WEST. THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST
NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED ON
THURSDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST ON FRIDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND PRISCILLA IS EXPECTED TO
DISSIPATE BY SATURDAY.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON PRISCILLA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW
PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
000
WTPZ21 KNHC 170231
TCMEP1
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
0300 UTC THU OCT 17 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 120.9W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 120.9W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 120.6W
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 18.8N 122.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 18.7N 123.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 18.4N 124.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.0N 125.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 120.9W
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON PRISCILLA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW
PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
000
WTPZ21 KNHC 170231
TCMEP1
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
0300 UTC THU OCT 17 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 120.9W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 120.9W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 120.6W
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 18.8N 122.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 18.7N 123.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 18.4N 124.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.0N 125.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 120.9W
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON PRISCILLA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW
PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
000
WTPZ31 KNHC 170231
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PRISCILLA ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
800 PM PDT WED OCT 16 2013
...PRISCILLA BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.7N 120.9W
ABOUT 765 MI...1235 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
PRISCILLA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 120.9
WEST. THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST
NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED ON
THURSDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST ON FRIDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND PRISCILLA IS EXPECTED TO
DISSIPATE BY SATURDAY.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON PRISCILLA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW
PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
000
WTPZ21 KNHC 170231
TCMEP1
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
0300 UTC THU OCT 17 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 120.9W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 120.9W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 120.6W
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 18.8N 122.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 18.7N 123.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 18.4N 124.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.0N 125.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 120.9W
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON PRISCILLA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW
PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
000
WTPZ21 KNHC 170231
TCMEP1
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
0300 UTC THU OCT 17 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 120.9W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 120.9W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 120.6W
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 18.8N 122.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 18.7N 123.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 18.4N 124.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.0N 125.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 120.9W
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON PRISCILLA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW
PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
000
WTPZ31 KNHC 170231
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PRISCILLA ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
800 PM PDT WED OCT 16 2013
...PRISCILLA BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.7N 120.9W
ABOUT 765 MI...1235 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
PRISCILLA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 120.9
WEST. THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST
NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED ON
THURSDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST ON FRIDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND PRISCILLA IS EXPECTED TO
DISSIPATE BY SATURDAY.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON PRISCILLA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW
PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
000
WTPZ21 KNHC 170231
TCMEP1
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
0300 UTC THU OCT 17 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 120.9W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 120.9W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 120.6W
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 18.8N 122.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 18.7N 123.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 18.4N 124.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.0N 125.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 120.9W
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON PRISCILLA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW
PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
000
WTPZ21 KNHC 170231
TCMEP1
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
0300 UTC THU OCT 17 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 120.9W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 120.9W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 120.6W
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 18.8N 122.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 18.7N 123.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 18.4N 124.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.0N 125.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 120.9W
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON PRISCILLA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW
PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
000
WTPZ31 KNHC 170231
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE PRISCILLA ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
800 PM PDT WED OCT 16 2013
...PRISCILLA BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.7N 120.9W
ABOUT 765 MI...1235 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
PRISCILLA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 120.9
WEST. THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST
NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED ON
THURSDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST ON FRIDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND PRISCILLA IS EXPECTED TO
DISSIPATE BY SATURDAY.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON PRISCILLA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW
PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
000
WTPQ33 PGUM 170112
TCPPQ3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRANCISCO (26W) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP262013
1100 AM CHST THU OCT 17 2013
...TROPICAL STORM FRANCISCO SLOWING DOWN SOUTHWEST OF GUAM...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN...
SAIPAN AND ADJACENT WATERS OUT TO 40 NM. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DAMAGING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH OR MORE...
ARE STILL POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS.
SUMMARY OF 11 AM CHST...0100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.0N 143.0E
ABOUT 205 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GUAM
ABOUT 260 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ROTA
ABOUT 325 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TINIAN
ABOUT 340 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN
ABOUT 350 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF YAP
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...LITTLE MOVEMENT WAS DETECTED OVER THE LAST HOUR.
SW OR 225 DEGREES AT 5 MPH
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 11 AM CHST...0100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANCISCO
(26W) WAS LOCATED BY RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 11.0 NORTH AND
LONGITUDE 143.0 EAST.
TROPICAL STORM FRANCISCO HAS MOVED VERY LITTLE OVER THE LAST HOUR.
FRANCISCO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARDS THE NORTH THIS AFTERNOON.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH. TROPICAL STORM FRANCISCO
WILL CONTINUE STRENGTHENING THROUGH THE DAY...AND COULD BECOME A
TYPHOON THIS AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 130 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 PM THIS AFTERNOON...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 500 PM.
$$
ZIOBRO
000
WTPQ33 PGUM 162114
TCPPQ3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRANCISCO (26W) ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP262013
800 AM CHST THU OCT 17 2013
...TROPICAL STORM FRANCISCO SLOWING DOWN SOUTHWEST OF GUAM...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN...
SAIPAN AND ADJACENT WATERS OUT TO 40 NM. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DAMAGING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH OR MORE...
ARE STILL POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS.
SUMMARY OF 7 AM CHST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.2N 142.9E
ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GUAM
ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ROTA
ABOUT 320 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TINIAN
ABOUT 330 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN
ABOUT 350 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF YAP
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 225 DEGREES AT 5 MPH
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 7 AM CHST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANCISCO
(26W) WAS LOCATED BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 11.2 NORTH AND
LONGITUDE 142.9 EAST.
TROPICAL STORM FRANCISCO IS MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH. FRANCISCO IS
EXPECTED TO KEEP THIS FORWARD SPEED FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND TURN
TOWARD THE WEST TODAY...THEN TURN TOWARD THE NORTH THIS EVENING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH. TROPICAL
STORM FRANCISCO WILL CONTINUE STRENGTHENING THROUGH THE DAY...AND
COULD BECOME A TYPHOON LATER THIS AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 130 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE AT 1100 AM...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY
AT 200 PM.
$$
ZIOBRO
000
WTPZ31 KNHC 162037
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
200 PM PDT WED OCT 16 2013
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA WEAKENING...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.6N 120.3W
ABOUT 735 MI...1180 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
PRISCILLA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 120.3
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH
...15 KM/H...AND THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE WEST ON
THURSDAY AT ABOUT THE SAME RATE OF SPEED.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. HOWEVER...PRISCILLA IS ANTICIPATED TO BECOME A
REMNANT LOW BY THURSDAY.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA
000
WTPZ31 KNHC 162037
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
200 PM PDT WED OCT 16 2013
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA WEAKENING...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.6N 120.3W
ABOUT 735 MI...1180 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
PRISCILLA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 120.3
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH
...15 KM/H...AND THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE WEST ON
THURSDAY AT ABOUT THE SAME RATE OF SPEED.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. HOWEVER...PRISCILLA IS ANTICIPATED TO BECOME A
REMNANT LOW BY THURSDAY.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA
000
WTPZ31 KNHC 162037
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
200 PM PDT WED OCT 16 2013
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA WEAKENING...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.6N 120.3W
ABOUT 735 MI...1180 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
PRISCILLA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 120.3
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH
...15 KM/H...AND THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE WEST ON
THURSDAY AT ABOUT THE SAME RATE OF SPEED.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. HOWEVER...PRISCILLA IS ANTICIPATED TO BECOME A
REMNANT LOW BY THURSDAY.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA
000
WTPZ31 KNHC 162037
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
200 PM PDT WED OCT 16 2013
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA WEAKENING...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.6N 120.3W
ABOUT 735 MI...1180 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
PRISCILLA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 120.3
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH
...15 KM/H...AND THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE WEST ON
THURSDAY AT ABOUT THE SAME RATE OF SPEED.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. HOWEVER...PRISCILLA IS ANTICIPATED TO BECOME A
REMNANT LOW BY THURSDAY.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA
000
WTPZ21 KNHC 162036
TCMEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
2100 UTC WED OCT 16 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 120.3W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 120.3W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 120.0W
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 18.7N 121.4W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 18.7N 122.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 18.5N 123.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 18.3N 125.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N 120.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA
000
WTPZ21 KNHC 162036
TCMEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
2100 UTC WED OCT 16 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 120.3W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 120.3W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 120.0W
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 18.7N 121.4W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 18.7N 122.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 18.5N 123.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 18.3N 125.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N 120.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA
000
WTPZ21 KNHC 162036
TCMEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
2100 UTC WED OCT 16 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 120.3W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 120.3W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 120.0W
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 18.7N 121.4W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 18.7N 122.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 18.5N 123.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 18.3N 125.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N 120.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA
000
WTPZ21 KNHC 162036
TCMEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
2100 UTC WED OCT 16 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 120.3W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 120.3W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 120.0W
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 18.7N 121.4W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 18.7N 122.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 18.5N 123.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 18.3N 125.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N 120.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA
000
WTPQ33 PGUM 161912
TCPPQ3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRANCISCO (26W) INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP262013
500 AM CHST THU OCT 17 2013
...TROPICAL STORM FRANCISCO SLOWING DOWN SOUTHWEST OF GUAM...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN...
SAIPAN AND ADJACENT WATERS OUT TO 40 NM. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DAMAGING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH OR MORE...
ARE STILL POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS.
SUMMARY OF 330 AM CHST...1730 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.3N 143.3E
ABOUT 180 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GUAM
ABOUT 230 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ROTA
ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TINIAN
ABOUT 310 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN
ABOUT 375 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF YAP
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 220 DEGREES AT 8 MPH
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 330 AM CHST...1730 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANCISCO
(26W) WAS LOCATED BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 11.3 NORTH AND
LONGITUDE 143.3 EAST.
TROPICAL STORM FRANCISCO IS MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 8 MPH. FRANCISCO IS
EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN FURTHER AND TURN TOWARD THE WEST TODAY...
THEN TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST THIS EVENING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH. TROPICAL STORM
FRANCISCO WILL CONTINUE STRENGTHENING THROUGH TONIGHT...AND COULD
BECOME A TYPHOON ON FRIDAY.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 800 AM THIS MORNING...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE
ADVISORY AT 1100 AM JUST BEFORE NOON.
$$
CHAN
000
WTPQ33 PGUM 161558
TCPPQ3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRANCISCO (26W) ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP262013
200 AM CHST THU OCT 17 2013
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS NOW TROPICAL STORM FRANCISCO...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN
AND SAIPAN AND ADJACENT WATERS OUT TO 40 NM. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DAMAGING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH OR MORE...
ARE STILL POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS.
SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.4N 143.2E
ABOUT 175 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GUAM
ABOUT 230 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ROTA
ABOUT 295 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TINIAN
ABOUT 310 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN
ABOUT 370 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF YAP
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 220 DEGREES AT 10 MPH
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRANCISCO
(26W) WAS LOCATED BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 11.4 NORTH AND
LONGITUDE 143.2 EAST.
TROPICAL STORM FRANCISCO IS MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH. FRANCISCO IS
EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN SLIGHTLY AND TURN TOWARD THE WEST TODAY...
THEN TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST THIS EVENING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 40 MPH. TROPICAL STORM
FRANCISCO WILL CONTINUE STRENGTHENING THROUGH TONIGHT...AND COULD
BECOME A TYPHOON ON FRIDAY.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE AT 500 AM THIS MORNING...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 800 AM LATER THIS MORNING.
$$
CHAN
000
WTPZ31 KNHC 161439
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
800 AM PDT WED OCT 16 2013
...PRISCILLA REMAINS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE OPEN PACIFIC
OCEAN...
SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.1N 119.3W
ABOUT 695 MI...1115 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
PRISCILLA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.3
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH
...13 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
THURSDAY WITH A TURN TOWARD THE WEST ON FRIDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND
PRISCILLA IS ANTICIPATED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY FRIDAY.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA
000
WTPZ31 KNHC 161439
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
800 AM PDT WED OCT 16 2013
...PRISCILLA REMAINS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE OPEN PACIFIC
OCEAN...
SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.1N 119.3W
ABOUT 695 MI...1115 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
PRISCILLA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.3
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH
...13 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
THURSDAY WITH A TURN TOWARD THE WEST ON FRIDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND
PRISCILLA IS ANTICIPATED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY FRIDAY.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA
000
WTPZ21 KNHC 161438
TCMEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
1500 UTC WED OCT 16 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 119.3W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 119.3W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 119.0W
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 18.4N 120.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 18.6N 121.6W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 18.5N 122.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 18.4N 124.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 18.0N 127.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 119.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA
000
WTPZ21 KNHC 161438
TCMEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
1500 UTC WED OCT 16 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 119.3W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 119.3W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 119.0W
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 18.4N 120.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 18.6N 121.6W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 18.5N 122.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 18.4N 124.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 18.0N 127.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 119.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA
000
WTPQ33 PGUM 161314
TCPPQ3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP262013
1100 PM CHST WED OCT 16 2013
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W STRENGTHENS SOUTHWEST OF GUAM...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN
AND SAIPAN AND ADJACENT WATERS OUT TO 40 NM. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DAMAGING SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH OR MORE...
ARE STILL POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS.
SUMMARY OF 930 PM CHST...1130 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.7N 143.1E
ABOUT 165 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GUAM
ABOUT 220 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ROTA
ABOUT 285 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TINIAN
ABOUT 295 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 13 MPH
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 930 PM CHST...1130 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W
WAS LOCATED BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 11.7 NORTH AND LONGITUDE
143.1 EAST.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 13 MPH. TROPICAL
DEPRESSION 26W IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AND TURN TOWARD THE WEST
OVERNIGHT...THEN MOVE SLOWLY TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST ON THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W
IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVERNIGHT...AND WILL LIKELY BECOME A
TROPICAL STORM ON THURSDAY MORNING.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 200 AM EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 500 AM LATER THURSDAY MORNING.
$$
CHAN
000
WTPQ33 PGUM 160918
TCPPQ3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP262013
800 PM CHST WED OCT 16 2013
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W STRENGTHENS SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN
AND SAIPAN. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DAMAGING SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 40 MPH OR MORE...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.3N 144.2E
ABOUT 90 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM
ABOUT 140 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ROTA
ABOUT 210 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TINIAN
ABOUT 220 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 13 MPH
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W
WAS LOCATED BY RADAR AND SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 12.3 NORTH AND
LONGITUDE 144.2 EAST.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 13 MPH. TROPICAL
DEPRESSION 26W IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AND TURN TOWARD THE WEST
OVERNIGHT...THEN MOVE SLOWLY TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST ON THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 35 MPH. TROPICAL
DEPRESSION 26W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY...AND WILL LIKELY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATE TONIGHT OR
THURSDAY MORNING.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE AT 1100 PM...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY
AT 200 AM THURSDAY MORNING.
$$
WILLIAMS/M AYDLETT
000
WTPZ31 KNHC 160831
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
200 AM PDT WED OCT 16 2013
...PRISCILLA CONTINUES SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST...
SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 118.6W
ABOUT 660 MI...1065 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
PRISCILLA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 118.6
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH
...11 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
THIS MORNING. A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST ARE EXPECTED BY TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
PRISCILLA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW BY TONIGHT OR
THURSDAY MORNING.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
000
WTPZ31 KNHC 160831
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
200 AM PDT WED OCT 16 2013
...PRISCILLA CONTINUES SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST...
SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 118.6W
ABOUT 660 MI...1065 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
PRISCILLA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 118.6
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH
...11 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
THIS MORNING. A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST ARE EXPECTED BY TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
PRISCILLA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW BY TONIGHT OR
THURSDAY MORNING.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
000
WTPZ21 KNHC 160830
TCMEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
0900 UTC WED OCT 16 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 118.6W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 118.6W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 118.3W
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 18.3N 119.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 18.6N 120.9W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 18.7N 122.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 18.5N 123.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 17.7N 125.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 118.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
000
WTPZ21 KNHC 160830
TCMEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
0900 UTC WED OCT 16 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 118.6W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 118.6W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 118.3W
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 18.3N 119.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 18.6N 120.9W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 18.7N 122.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 18.5N 123.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 17.7N 125.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 118.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
000
WTPQ33 PGUM 160654
TCPPQ3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP262013
500 PM CHST WED OCT 16 2013
...CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN AND
SAIPAN. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DAMAGING SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 40 MPH OR MORE...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CHST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.4N 144.4E
ABOUT 75 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM
ABOUT 130 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ROTA
ABOUT 195 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TINIAN
ABOUT 210 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAIPAN
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 15 MPH
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 400 PM CHST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W
WAS LOCATED BY RADAR AND SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 12.4 NORTH AND
LONGITUDE 144.4 EAST.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 15 MPH. TROPICAL
DEPRESSION 26W IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AND TURN TOWARD THE WEST
OVERNIGHT...THEN MOVE SLOWLY TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST ON THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS
EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...AND WILL LIKELY
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATE TONIGHT OR THURSDAY MORNING.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 800 PM...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT
1100 PM TONIGHT.
$$
WILLIAMS
000
WTPQ33 PGUM 160331
TCPPQ3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP262013
200 PM CHST WED OCT 16 2013
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W FORMS SOUTHEAST OF GUAM...
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR GUAM...ROTA...TINIAN AND
SAIPAN. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DAMAGING SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 40 MPH OR MORE...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.6N 145.5E
ABOUT 75 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GUAM
ABOUT 105 MILES SOUTH OF ROTA
ABOUT 165 MILES SOUTH OF TINIAN
ABOUT 175 MILES SOUTH OF SAIPAN
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 15 MPH
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W
WAS LOCATED BY RADAR AND SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 12.6 NORTH AND
LONGITUDE 145.5 EAST.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 15 MPH. TROPICAL
DEPRESSION 26W IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AND TURN TOWARD THE WEST
OVERNIGHT...THEN MOVE SLOWLY TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST ON THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W IS
EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY...AND WILL
LIKELY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATE TONIGHT OR THURSDAY MORNING.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 500 PM...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT
800 PM THIS EVENING.
$$
MIDDLEBROOKE
000
WTPZ31 KNHC 160230
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
800 PM PDT TUE OCT 15 2013
...PRISCILLA MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 117.9W
ABOUT 630 MI...1015 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
PRISCILLA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.9
WEST. PRISCILLA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11
KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
EARLY THURSDAY. A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST ARE EXPECTED BY LATE THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
PRISCILLA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT
OR THURSDAY MORNING.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
000
WTPZ31 KNHC 160230
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
800 PM PDT TUE OCT 15 2013
...PRISCILLA MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 117.9W
ABOUT 630 MI...1015 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
PRISCILLA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.9
WEST. PRISCILLA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11
KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
EARLY THURSDAY. A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST ARE EXPECTED BY LATE THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
PRISCILLA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT
OR THURSDAY MORNING.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
000
WTPZ21 KNHC 160230
TCMEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
0300 UTC WED OCT 16 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 117.9W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 117.9W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 117.6W
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 18.1N 119.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 18.6N 120.3W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 19.0N 121.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 18.8N 122.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.0N 124.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 117.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
000
WTPZ21 KNHC 160230
TCMEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
0300 UTC WED OCT 16 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 117.9W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 117.9W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 117.6W
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 18.1N 119.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 18.6N 120.3W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 19.0N 121.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 18.8N 122.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.0N 124.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 117.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
000
WTPZ31 KNHC 160230
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
800 PM PDT TUE OCT 15 2013
...PRISCILLA MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 117.9W
ABOUT 630 MI...1015 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
PRISCILLA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.9
WEST. PRISCILLA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11
KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
EARLY THURSDAY. A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST ARE EXPECTED BY LATE THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
PRISCILLA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT
OR THURSDAY MORNING.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
000
WTPZ31 KNHC 160230
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
800 PM PDT TUE OCT 15 2013
...PRISCILLA MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 117.9W
ABOUT 630 MI...1015 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
PRISCILLA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.9
WEST. PRISCILLA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11
KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
EARLY THURSDAY. A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST ARE EXPECTED BY LATE THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
PRISCILLA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT
OR THURSDAY MORNING.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
000
WTPZ21 KNHC 160230
TCMEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
0300 UTC WED OCT 16 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 117.9W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 117.9W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 117.6W
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 18.1N 119.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 18.6N 120.3W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 19.0N 121.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 18.8N 122.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.0N 124.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 117.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
000
WTPZ21 KNHC 160230
TCMEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
0300 UTC WED OCT 16 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 117.9W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 117.9W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 117.6W
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 18.1N 119.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 18.6N 120.3W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 19.0N 121.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 18.8N 122.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.0N 124.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 117.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
000
WTPZ31 KNHC 160230
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
800 PM PDT TUE OCT 15 2013
...PRISCILLA MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 117.9W
ABOUT 630 MI...1015 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
PRISCILLA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.9
WEST. PRISCILLA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11
KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
EARLY THURSDAY. A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST ARE EXPECTED BY LATE THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
PRISCILLA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT
OR THURSDAY MORNING.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
000
WTPZ31 KNHC 160230
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
800 PM PDT TUE OCT 15 2013
...PRISCILLA MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 117.9W
ABOUT 630 MI...1015 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
PRISCILLA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.9
WEST. PRISCILLA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11
KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
EARLY THURSDAY. A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST ARE EXPECTED BY LATE THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
PRISCILLA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT
OR THURSDAY MORNING.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
000
WTPZ21 KNHC 160230
TCMEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
0300 UTC WED OCT 16 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 117.9W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 117.9W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 117.6W
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 18.1N 119.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 18.6N 120.3W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 19.0N 121.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 18.8N 122.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.0N 124.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 117.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
000
WTPZ21 KNHC 160230
TCMEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
0300 UTC WED OCT 16 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 117.9W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 117.9W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 117.6W
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 18.1N 119.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 18.6N 120.3W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 19.0N 121.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 18.8N 122.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.0N 124.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 117.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
000
WTPZ31 KNHC 160230
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
800 PM PDT TUE OCT 15 2013
...PRISCILLA MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 117.9W
ABOUT 630 MI...1015 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
PRISCILLA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.9
WEST. PRISCILLA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11
KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
EARLY THURSDAY. A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST ARE EXPECTED BY LATE THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
PRISCILLA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT
OR THURSDAY MORNING.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
000
WTPZ31 KNHC 160230
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
800 PM PDT TUE OCT 15 2013
...PRISCILLA MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 117.9W
ABOUT 630 MI...1015 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
PRISCILLA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.9
WEST. PRISCILLA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11
KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
EARLY THURSDAY. A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST ARE EXPECTED BY LATE THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
PRISCILLA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT
OR THURSDAY MORNING.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
000
WTPZ21 KNHC 160230
TCMEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
0300 UTC WED OCT 16 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 117.9W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 117.9W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 117.6W
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 18.1N 119.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 18.6N 120.3W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 19.0N 121.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 18.8N 122.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.0N 124.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 117.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
000
WTPZ21 KNHC 160230
TCMEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
0300 UTC WED OCT 16 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 117.9W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 117.9W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 117.6W
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 18.1N 119.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 18.6N 120.3W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 19.0N 121.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 18.8N 122.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.0N 124.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 117.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
000
WTPZ35 KNHC 152039
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OCTAVE ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152013
200 PM PDT TUE OCT 15 2013
...OCTAVE DEGENERATES INTO A REMNANT LOW OVER MAINLAND MEXICO...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.9N 109.4W
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM NNW OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO
ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM NW OF CULIACAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...35 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
OCTAVE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.4 WEST.
THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR
5 MPH...7 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
UNTIL THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 25 MPH...35 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE REMNANTS OF OCTAVE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL
RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 8 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE MAINLAND MEXICO STATE OF SONORA.
MOISTURE FROM THE REMNANTS OF OCTAVE WILL SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD AND
ENHANCE RAINFALL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. INTERESTS ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO AND THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR RAINFALL
STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
000
WTPZ35 KNHC 152039
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OCTAVE ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152013
200 PM PDT TUE OCT 15 2013
...OCTAVE DEGENERATES INTO A REMNANT LOW OVER MAINLAND MEXICO...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.9N 109.4W
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM NNW OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO
ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM NW OF CULIACAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...35 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
OCTAVE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.4 WEST.
THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR
5 MPH...7 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
UNTIL THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 25 MPH...35 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE REMNANTS OF OCTAVE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL
RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 8 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE MAINLAND MEXICO STATE OF SONORA.
MOISTURE FROM THE REMNANTS OF OCTAVE WILL SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD AND
ENHANCE RAINFALL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. INTERESTS ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO AND THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR RAINFALL
STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
000
WTPZ31 KNHC 152038
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
200 PM PDT TUE OCT 15 2013
...PRISCILLA WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 117.5W
ABOUT 610 MI...980 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
PRISCILLA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.5
WEST. PRISCILLA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH
...13 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST ON
THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND PRISCILLA COULD DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW
BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
$$
FORECASTER BERG
000
WTPZ31 KNHC 152038
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
200 PM PDT TUE OCT 15 2013
...PRISCILLA WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 117.5W
ABOUT 610 MI...980 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
PRISCILLA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.5
WEST. PRISCILLA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH
...13 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST ON
THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND PRISCILLA COULD DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW
BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
$$
FORECASTER BERG
000
WTPZ21 KNHC 152038
TCMEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
2100 UTC TUE OCT 15 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 117.5W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 117.5W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 117.1W
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 18.1N 118.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 18.7N 119.9W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 19.2N 121.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 19.4N 121.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 18.7N 123.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 117.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
000
WTPZ25 KNHC 152038
TCMEP5
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OCTAVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152013
2100 UTC TUE OCT 15 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 109.4W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 109.4W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 109.5W
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N 109.4W
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
000
WTPZ25 KNHC 152038
TCMEP5
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OCTAVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152013
2100 UTC TUE OCT 15 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 109.4W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 109.4W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 109.5W
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N 109.4W
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
000
WTPZ31 KNHC 152038
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
200 PM PDT TUE OCT 15 2013
...PRISCILLA WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 117.5W
ABOUT 610 MI...980 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
PRISCILLA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.5
WEST. PRISCILLA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH
...13 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST ON
THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND PRISCILLA COULD DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW
BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
$$
FORECASTER BERG
000
WTPZ31 KNHC 152038
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
200 PM PDT TUE OCT 15 2013
...PRISCILLA WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 117.5W
ABOUT 610 MI...980 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
PRISCILLA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.5
WEST. PRISCILLA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH
...13 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST ON
THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND PRISCILLA COULD DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW
BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
$$
FORECASTER BERG
000
WTPZ21 KNHC 152038
TCMEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
2100 UTC TUE OCT 15 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 117.5W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 117.5W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 117.1W
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 18.1N 118.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 18.7N 119.9W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 19.2N 121.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 19.4N 121.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 18.7N 123.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 117.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
000
WTPZ25 KNHC 152038
TCMEP5
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OCTAVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152013
2100 UTC TUE OCT 15 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 109.4W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 109.4W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 109.5W
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N 109.4W
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
000
WTPZ25 KNHC 152038
TCMEP5
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OCTAVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152013
2100 UTC TUE OCT 15 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 109.4W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 109.4W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 109.5W
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N 109.4W
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
000
WTPZ31 KNHC 152038
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
200 PM PDT TUE OCT 15 2013
...PRISCILLA WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 117.5W
ABOUT 610 MI...980 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
PRISCILLA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.5
WEST. PRISCILLA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH
...13 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST ON
THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND PRISCILLA COULD DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW
BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
$$
FORECASTER BERG
000
WTPZ31 KNHC 152038
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
200 PM PDT TUE OCT 15 2013
...PRISCILLA WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 117.5W
ABOUT 610 MI...980 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
PRISCILLA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.5
WEST. PRISCILLA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH
...13 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST ON
THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND PRISCILLA COULD DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW
BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
$$
FORECASTER BERG
000
WTPZ21 KNHC 152038
TCMEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
2100 UTC TUE OCT 15 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 117.5W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 117.5W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 117.1W
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 18.1N 118.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 18.7N 119.9W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 19.2N 121.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 19.4N 121.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 18.7N 123.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 117.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
000
WTPZ25 KNHC 152038
TCMEP5
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OCTAVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152013
2100 UTC TUE OCT 15 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 109.4W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 109.4W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 109.5W
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N 109.4W
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
000
WTPZ25 KNHC 152038
TCMEP5
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OCTAVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152013
2100 UTC TUE OCT 15 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 109.4W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 109.4W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 109.5W
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N 109.4W
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
000
WTPZ31 KNHC 152038
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
200 PM PDT TUE OCT 15 2013
...PRISCILLA WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 117.5W
ABOUT 610 MI...980 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
PRISCILLA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.5
WEST. PRISCILLA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH
...13 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST ON
THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND PRISCILLA COULD DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW
BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
$$
FORECASTER BERG
000
WTPZ31 KNHC 152038
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
200 PM PDT TUE OCT 15 2013
...PRISCILLA WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 117.5W
ABOUT 610 MI...980 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
PRISCILLA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.5
WEST. PRISCILLA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH
...13 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST ON
THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND PRISCILLA COULD DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW
BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
$$
FORECASTER BERG
000
WTPZ21 KNHC 152038
TCMEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
2100 UTC TUE OCT 15 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 117.5W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 117.5W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 117.1W
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 18.1N 118.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 18.7N 119.9W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 19.2N 121.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 19.4N 121.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 18.7N 123.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 117.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
000
WTPZ25 KNHC 152038
TCMEP5
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OCTAVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152013
2100 UTC TUE OCT 15 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 109.4W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 109.4W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 109.5W
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N 109.4W
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
000
WTPZ25 KNHC 152038
TCMEP5
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OCTAVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152013
2100 UTC TUE OCT 15 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 109.4W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 109.4W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 109.5W
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N 109.4W
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
000
WTPZ31 KNHC 152038
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRISCILLA ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162013
200 PM PDT TUE OCT 15 2013
...PRISCILLA WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION...
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 117.5W
ABOUT 610 MI...980 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
PRISCILLA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.5
WEST. PRISCILLA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH
...13 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST ON
THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND PRISCILLA COULD DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW
BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
$$
S$
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