AG2 Tropical Report May 9 2013

ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON
ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY ---
WARNING POSITION: 090600Z --- NEAR 7.0S 85.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX
HOURS - 165 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND
DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII
VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST
QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 7.0S 85.5E --- FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z --- 7.5S 85.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040
KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034
KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM
SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR
POSIT: 160 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z --- 8.0S
85.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID
OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST
QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 03 KTS
--- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z --- 8.6S 86.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS -
050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF
034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065
NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST
QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR
TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS,
VALID AT: 110600Z --- 9.4S 86.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS
070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS
- 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST
QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS -
065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST
QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 215
DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z --- 10.1S 85.5E MAX
SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN
WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST
QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST
QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE
OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z --- 10.8S 83.1E MAX
SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN
WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 120 HRS,
VALID AT: 140600Z --- 11.1S 78.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT,
GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
S$

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