AG2 TROPICAL REPORT HURRICANE MODEL TO SOUTH OFF AUSTRALIA THENCE DEPRESSION SOUTHEASTERLY MOVEMENT USE PROGS WITH CAUTION

Tropical Cyclone 08S Warning #21
Jan 12, 2013
http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/sh0813.gif
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S WARNING NR 021//RMKS/1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S
WARNING NR 021 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX
SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER
OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z --- NEAR 20.5S
111.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION
ACCURATE TO WITHIN060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY
SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT,
GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT
WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM
SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT
WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM
SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT
WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 210 NM
SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT:
20.5S 111.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z --- 22.0S
110.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID
OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST
QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST
QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST
QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 11 KTS
--- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z --- 23.9S 109.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS
- 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS
OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST
QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS
OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST
QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS
OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
175 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 175 NM SOUTHWEST
QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR
TO 36 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z ---
26.3S 109.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII
VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT
WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM
SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT
WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM
SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR
POSIT: 170 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 28.8S 109.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS
OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST
QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS
OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 155 NM SOUTHWEST
QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR
TO 72 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z ---
34.2S 114.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII
VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL

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