Tropical Cyclone 04P Warning #17
Dec 17, 2012
http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/sh0413.gif
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 04 WARNING NR 017//RMKS/1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04P
WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX
SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER
OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z --- NEAR 17.9S
177.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION
ACCURATE TO WITHIN060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY
SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT,
GUSTS 140 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT
WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM
SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT
WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM
SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT
WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM
SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT:
17.9S 177.3E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z --- 19.5S
176.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT WIND RADII VALID
OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST
QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST
QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST
QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 08 KTS
--- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z --- 21.0S 177.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS
- 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS
OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST
QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS
OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST
QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS
OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST
QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR
TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z ---
22.3S 177.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII
VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST
QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST
QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST
QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 07 KTS
--- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z --- 23.6S 177.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN
WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST
QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST
QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST
QUADRANT
Alacrity Rocks
Dec 17
Slightly unstable
( LI -3)
2 l/m 2 54%
81 °F min
82 °F max
60 mph
Tue Dec 18
Slightly unstable
( LI -2.8)
85 l/m 2 89%
81 °F min
84 °F max
60 mph
Wed Dec 19
Double Coconut Point
Mon Dec 17
Slightly unstable
( LI -3)
1 l/m 2 47%
81 °F min
84 °F max
42 mph
Tue Dec 18
Slightly unstable
( LI -3.9)
49 l/m 2 79%
81 °F min
84 °F max
42 mph
Wed Dec 19
SAFE HARBOR
East Passage
Mon Dec 17
Slightly unstable
( LI -3)
81 °F min
82 °F max
16 mph
Tue Dec 18
Unstable
( LI -4.9)
4 l/m 2 36%
81 °F min
82 °F max
26 mph
Wed Dec 19
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