Tropical Cyclone 04P Warning #15
Dec 16, 2012
http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/sh0413.gif
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 04P WARNING NR 016//RMKS/1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04P
WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX
SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER
OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z --- NEAR 16.4S
178.3E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION
ACCURATE TO WITHIN045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035
NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST
QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS -
060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST
QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS -
120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHEAST
QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.4S 178.3E
--- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z --- 17.8S 177.0E MAX
SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN
WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST
QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST
QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST
QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID
AT: 171800Z --- 19.2S 176.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130
KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS -
035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST
QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS -
060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST
QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS -
110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST
QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180
DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z --- 20.6S 176.4E MAX
SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN
WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST
QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST
QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 105 NM NORTHWEST
QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED
OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z --- 22.0S 176.6E MAX SUSTAINED
WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM
SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM
SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM
SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
Ahau
Mon Dec 17
Slightly unstable
( LI -3.6)
~ 1 l/m 2 51%
82 °F min
86 °F max
30 mph
Alacrity Rocks
Dec 17
Slightly unstable
( LI -2.9)
~ 11 l/m 2 71%
81 °F min
82 °F max
48 mph
Alexa Bank
Mon Dec 17
Unstable
( LI -4.3)
~ 3 l/m 2 45%
82 °F min
86 °F max
19 mph
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