HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...WEST GULF RFC...FORT WORTH TX1031 AM CST
THU NOV 15 2012 VALID NOVEMBER 15 THROUGH NOVEMBER 20...
ZONAL FLOW BRINGS DRIER WEATHER TO THE WGRFC AREA UNTIL THEEND OF
THE FORECAST PERIOD ... ...METEOROLOGICAL
DISCUSSION...A dry, nearly zonal air flow pattern is dominating the
weather conditions across the WGRFC area as a regional low pressure
trough moves eastward. Cooler weather will persist along with below
normal precipitation until Monday. High pressure ridging will build
from Mexico into the central plains of the U.S. allowing Gulf moisture
to rapidly increase on Sunday ahead of an upper level trough
currently developing along the West Coast. The weather models bring in
some precipitation into the forecast for far south Texas later this
weekend as upper air disturbances continue to trigger light shower and
thunderstorm activity. The amounts and timing of the storms vary with
each model at this time. However, this activity is expected to
continue rippling through the lower Rio Grande until the middle of
next week at the end of the forecats period. Significant precipitation
may be in store for central and east Texas river basinsa day or so
beyond our current forecast period.No significant runoff is expected
from these disturbances at this time but we will continue to monitor
the progress of the system with updates as needed.
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