AG2 TROPICAL REPORT May 13 2013

01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON
ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY ---
WARNING POSITION: 131800Z --- NEAR 12.9N 85.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX
HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND
DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII
VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST
QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.9N 85.4E --- FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z --- 14.1N 85.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050
KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034
KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM
SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR
POSIT: 025 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z --- 15.4N
86.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID
OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST
QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST
QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS
--- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z --- 16.8N 86.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS -
060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF
050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030
NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST
QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS
OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST
QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR
TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 08 KTS ---
Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (TCFA) 87L - EXERCISE
EXERCISE EXERCISE EXERCISE SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//REF
A/131600ZMAY13/FLEWEACEN NORFOLK VA//AMPN/TCFA//RMKS/1. FORMATION OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLEWITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A
LINE FROM 24.5N 54.9W TO 25.0N 58.5W WITHIN THE NEXT12 TO 24 HOURS.
AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFYISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE
WARNING AT THIS TIME.2. REMARKS: CURRENT MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS
INTENSIFICATIONOF A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE THAT IS APPROXIMATELY 720NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST AT APPROXIMATELY
9 KNOTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THEFEATURE HAS BECOME BETTER
ORGANIZED WITH INCREASED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY NEAR THE CENTER.
Tropical Storm 86L Warning #06 - EXERCISE

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